中国与东盟农产品出口为何各异:基于对金融危机影响的分析

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中国与东盟的农产品出口贸易具有较大相似度,但各自受金融危机的影响却有明显差异。对此差异的形成机理,学者们少有涉足。在中国-东盟自由贸易区框架下,在全球金融危机频繁发生和当前美欧债务问题依然突出的情况下,对此机理研究的不足对中国应对国际经济波动、发展农产品出口贸易十分不利。针对这种情况,本文选取东盟国家中农产品出口贸易具有代表性的泰国、马来西亚和印度尼西亚为样本,利用出口占比、出口增速、显示性比较优势指数等指标,分析了中国与上述三国农产品出口受金融危机影响的不同情况及其形成机理,旨在总结经验与教训,以期对理论研究和实践发展略尽绵力。 There is a great similarity between China and ASEAN in the export of agricultural products, but there are obvious differences under the influence of the financial crisis. The formation mechanism of this difference, scholars rarely involved. Under the framework of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area (FTA) and under the frequent occurrence of the global financial crisis and the current debt problems between the United States and Europe, the inadequacies in research on this mechanism are very unfavorable to China in coping with international economic fluctuations and developing agricultural products export trade. In view of this situation, this article selects the representative of Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia from the export trade of China’s agricultural products in the ASEAN countries as a sample. Using the indicators of export proportion, export growth rate and comparative comparative advantage index, this article analyzes the export of agricultural products between China and these three countries Different situations affected by the financial crisis and their formation mechanism aim at summing up experience and lessons so as to make a little effort on theoretical research and practical development.
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