第一类文章之一论述了地震构造活动势态追踪可能是一条实现地震预报的途径,其立论基础为:1.从地震构造角度把研究地震构造运动本质与探索地震预报联系起来;2.从应力场不稳定和近场与远场统一动平衡调整的观点出发着眼于全局,面、线、点相结合;3.考虑地震形式和非地震形式的构造活动。 One of the first kind of papers discussed that the tracking of the seismic tectonic movement potential may be a way to realize the earthquake prediction. The rationale for its argument is: 1. From the perspective of seismic structure, it is necessary to study the nature of seismic tectonic movement and explore the earthquake prediction; 2. Field instability and uniform balance adjustment of near-field and far-field. The viewpoints of global, surface, line and point combination are taken into account. 3. Earthquake-type and non-earthquake-type tectonic activities are considered.