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1 形势 1.1 2000年前乃至2010年前,我省能源形势依然严峻,能源紧缺仍是国民经济的主要“瓶颈”之一,环境状况可能进一步恶化。 1.2 从现在开始到下世纪初叶,我省经济将进入工业化高速增长期,城市化进程加快,人民生活在基本实现小康后,进一步走向舒适和富裕,相应地,能源需求总量将有较大的增长,其中电能等优质能源的需求量增长更快。据预测,到2000年和2010年,我省能源总需求将分别达到6000～6500万吨标煤和1.1～1.2亿吨标煤,电能总需求量将分别达到750～760亿千瓦时和1200～1300亿千瓦时。电力建设在2000年前已成定局,无论从资金、燃料的可供量及交通运输能力来看,都存在极大的困难,供需矛盾将是突出的。 1.3 与此同时,对环境质量的期望以及对环境资源的需求亦将进一步增长,土地、水、大气资源,以及海洋、旅游资源所承受的负担日益加重。虽然近几年来我省大气环境质量不断恶化的局面得到一定控制,但随着今后经济的快速增长,耗煤量的大幅度增加,我省环境质量迅速恶化的可能性依然存在。据预测,到2000年和2010年,我省SO_2排放
1 Situation 1.1 Before 2000 or even 2010, the energy situation in our province is still grim. Energy shortage is still one of the major “bottlenecks” of the national economy, and the environmental conditions may further deteriorate. 1.2 From now till the beginning of the next century, the economy of our province will enter a period of rapid industrialization and the process of urbanization will be accelerated. After the people have basically achieved their well-to-do society, they will further move towards comfort and prosperity. Correspondingly, the total energy demand will be greater Growth, of which demand for high-quality energy such as electricity grew faster. It is predicted that by the year 2000 and 2010, the total energy demand of our province will reach 6000-65 million tons of standard coal and 1.1-120 million tons of standard coal, respectively, and the total electricity demand will reach 750-760 billion kwh and 1200 ~ 130 billion kwh. By the year 2000, power construction is a foregone conclusion. It will be extremely difficult in view of the availability of funds and fuels and transportation capacity. The contradiction between supply and demand will be prominent. 1.3 At the same time, the expectation of environmental quality and the demand for environmental resources will further increase, and the burdens on land, water and air resources as well as the oceans and tourism resources will be aggravated. Although the deterioration of atmospheric environment quality in our province has been controlled in recent years, with the rapid economic growth in the future and the significant increase in coal consumption, the possibility of rapid deterioration of the environmental quality in our province still exists. It is predicted that by the year 2000 and 2010, our province will emit SO_2