几年前,国内金融界曾经流行关于“黑天鹅”的说法。来源是一个名为纳西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布的学者,他在著作《黑天鹅》中提出了黑天鹅事件的定义——在发现澳大利亚的黑天鹅之前,17世纪之前的欧洲人认为天鹅都是白色的。但随着第一只黑天鹅的出现,这个不可动摇的信念崩溃了。黑天鹅的存在寓意着不可预测的重大稀有事件,它在意料之外,却又改变一切。用黑天鹅做比喻,首先意味着某件事情具有意 A few years ago, the domestic financial community once became popular about “Black Swan”. The source is a scholar named Naseem Nicholas Taleb who put forward the definition of the black swan in his book “Black Swan.” Before the discovery of Australia’s Black Swan, Europeans before the 17th century considered Swan is white. But with the emergence of the first Black Swan, this unshakable faith collapsed. The existence of the Black Swan implies a rare and unpredictable rare event that unexpectedly changes everything. Using a black swan metaphor means first that something is intentional