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根据市场发展趋势和国家经济社会发展计划的安排,我们对今年国内商品市场的预测是,需求有较大增加,市场逐步回升,大多数商品供需基本平衡,有些重要商品需要适度进口,农副产品和“菜篮子”供给偏紧,某些工业消费品可能出现阶段性、结构性的有效需求不足。预计全年社会商品零售总额将超过16000亿元,比去年增长20%左右;全社会生产资料销售总额将达20700亿元,增长18%;全年社会商品零售物价总水平涨幅将仍在10%以上。
According to the development trend of the market and the arrangement of the national economic and social development plan, our forecast for the domestic commodity market this year is that there is a great increase in demand, the market gradually rebounds, the supply and demand of most commodities are basically balanced, some important commodities need to be imported moderately, the agricultural and sideline products The supply of “basket of vegetables” is tight. Some industrial consumer goods may be staged and the demand for structurally effective insufficient. It is estimated that the total retail sales of social goods will exceed 1.6 trillion yuan in the whole year, an increase of about 20% over last year. The total sales of social means of production will reach 2.07 trillion yuan, an increase of 18%. The overall level of retail sales of social goods will still be 10% the above.