近年来,人们重新对长波理论发生了兴趣,这一课题也引起象康德拉季耶夫和熊彼特这样一些经济学家的密切注意。既然有些经济学家认为,经过五十年代和六十年代的经济发展,目前正处于康德拉季耶夫周期的衰退阶段,那么,七十年代和八十年代的经济衰退就是重新引起这种兴趣的原因。当然,对是否存在长波仍有争议。有些人,如C.费里曼和J.福莱斯特确认这种长波是存在的,而P.萨缪尔森等人则认为它不过是一种“科学的虚构”。 In recent years, there has been renewed interest in the theory of longwave. This issue has also drawn the close attention of economists like Kondratiev and Schumpeter. Since some economists believe that after the economic development of the 1950s and 1960s is currently in the downturn of the Kondratiev cycle, the economic recession in the 1970s and 1980s is to rekindle this interest s reason. Of course, there is still controversy over whether there is a long wave. Some people, such as C. Ferriman and J. Forrest, confirm that this longwave exists, whereas P. Samuelson et al. Consider it to be nothing more than a “scientific fiction.”