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一、2004年经济环境分析从国际经济发展的趋势看。2004年世界经济增长步伐将明显加快,国际贸易也将进一步提速,安徽发展面临的国际经济环境整体上好于2003年。 2004年全球经济增长将进一步加快。2003年的伊拉克战争、非典疫情、美元汇率持续走低等不利因素冲击着世界经济,但随着上述因素的缓解以及在发达国家扩张性财政和货币政策的刺激下,全球经济自2003年下半年起出现缓慢复苏的迹象,根据IMF最新预测报告显示,全球经济增长率将达3.2％,比2002年提高0.2个百分点,2004年将增长4.1％。这预示着世界经济将重新回到长期以来年均增长率为4％的发展轨道上来。
First, the analysis of economic environment in 2004 From the trend of international economic development. In 2004, the pace of world economic growth will be markedly accelerated, and international trade will also speed up further. As a whole, the international economic environment facing Anhui’s development is better than that in 2003. In 2004 the global economic growth will be further accelerated. In 2003, the Iraq war, SARS epidemic, the dollar continued to fall and other unfavorable factors impact on the world economy, but with the ease of these factors and the expansion of developed countries stimulated by fiscal and monetary policies, the global economy since the second half of 2003 There are signs of a slow recovery. According to the IMF’s latest forecast report, the global economic growth rate will reach 3.2%, an increase of 0.2% over 2002 and an increase of 4.1% in 2004. This indicates that the world economy will return to the development track of 4% annual growth rate over the long term.