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本文收集了2003年至2009年以来,各地区的电力消费量的相关数据。通过利用计量经济学的研究方法,建立多元回归模型,并进行了多因素分析,同时对模型意义进行检验,以期为以后预测电力需求的变化提供合理理论依据。本文还通过对各地区电力消费量情况利用空间集聚度的测算方法得出对空间结构影响的因素,以期为今后的城市发展规划提供理论参考。
This article collects data on electricity consumption by region from 2003 to 2009. Through the use of econometrics research methods, the establishment of multiple regression models, and conducted a multi-factor analysis, and test the significance of the model in order to provide a reasonable theoretical basis for the future forecast of electricity demand changes. In this paper, we also use the method of calculating the spatial concentration of electricity consumption in each region to find out the factors that affect the space structure in order to provide a theoretical reference for the urban development planning in the future.