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在新的时期,中国改革开放面临的形势比20年前要复杂得多,苛刻得多。第一,受消费需求不足的限制,经济增长率趋于下降。从1978年以来,中国在经历了长达20年的高速增长(接近10%)之后,新世纪将进入“边际效益递减”的增长阶段。其主要特点是,从投资主导刺激增长转向消费为主刺激增长。新时期随着西部开发的推进,投资增长对经济的贡献率在一定时期内还会保持较大份额,但在趋势上是趋于下降的;中国加入WTO后,随着进口商品的限制减少,出口的增长一时也不会有很大变化,净出口
In the new period, the situation facing China’s reform and opening up is much more complicated and harsh than that of 20 years ago. First, due to the lack of consumer demand, economic growth tends to decline. Since 1978, after 20 years of rapid growth (close to 10%) in China, the new century will enter a phase of “diminishing marginal benefit”. Its main feature is that stimulating growth from investment-led growth to consumer-led growth. In the new era, with the development of the western region, the contribution of investment growth to the economy will maintain a larger share in a certain period of time, but tends to decline in the trend. After China’s accession to the WTO, as the restrictions on imported goods decrease, The growth of exports will not change much in a single moment and net exports