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当前经济形势的表现比较复杂,既有好的和比较好的一面,也存在着不少比较突出与严峻的问题。因此,看法也不完全一致。大体上说,现在一般有三种不同的分析和估计。第一种:比较乐观的估计。认为今年经济发展的形势,肯定会好于去年,国内生产总值的增长速度,可以达到8.5％左右甚至9％。其主要根据是,从去年经济发展的过程看,第一季度经济增长速度比较高,达到了8.3％;第二季度速度下降了,只有7.1％。第三季度不但下降已基本停止,而且出现了一个“拐点”,下一步肯定经济是一路回升,虽然上升不可能很急,但今年经济增长的速度会明显超过去年预计7％多一些的水平。第二种:比较严峻的估计。认为今年我国经济增长的速度会进
The performance of the current economic situation is rather complicated, with both good and better aspects and quite a few outstanding and severe problems. Therefore, the view is not exactly the same. In general, there are generally three different analyzes and estimations. The first one: a more optimistic estimate. We think that the economic development this year will surely be better than last year. The growth rate of the GDP will reach about 8.5% or even 9%. The main basis for this is that from the process of economic development last year, the economic growth in the first quarter was relatively high at 8.3%; in the second quarter, the rate of decline was only 7.1%. In the third quarter, the decline has basically stopped and an “inflection point” has emerged. The next step is sure that the economy is picking up all the time. Although the increase can not be urgent, the rate of economic growth this year will obviously exceed the level expected last year by more than 7%. The second: more serious estimates. Think this year’s rate of economic growth in our country will go