本文应用服务目标法和需要、需求法,对1997年湖北省医院床位供需状况进行了分析,并对2005年的医院床位需要和需求状况进行预测。湖北省1997年医院床位总体供大于求,各级医院床位使用率差异较大,反映卫生资源配置结构不合理,平均住院日较短而床位周转率低,有效住院需求不足。针对上述问题,笔者提出相关建议。 This article applies the service target method and needs, demand method to analyze the supply and demand conditions of hospital beds in Hubei Province in 1997, and predict the hospital bed needs and demand conditions in 2005. In 1997, the overall supply of hospital beds in Hubei exceeded the demand, and the utilization rate of hospital beds at all levels was quite different, reflecting the unreasonable allocation of health resources, the short average hospital stay and low bed turnover, and the lack of effective hospitalization. In response to the above problems, the author put forward relevant suggestions.