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随着我国老龄化问题日益显现,人口增长成为当下关注的热点,而社会福利对人口增长究竟有怎样的影响,也成为学界研究的重点。本文在进行相关理论分析的基础上,运用2012年全国地级市相关数据进行实证分析,建立社会福利与人口自然增长率的数理模型。在控制了经济水平、地理位置、医疗水平、教育水平等对人口增长的影响下,得出结论:社会福利水平的差距将拉大各地区人口增长的差距,且社会福利与人口增长成反比。因此研究社会福利水平的设置对相应地区未来解决人口问题起到重要作用。
As the problem of aging in our country becomes more and more obvious, the population growth has become the focus of attention nowadays. However, what kind of influence does the social welfare have on the population growth has also become the focus of academic research. Based on the related theoretical analysis, this paper uses the data of prefecture-level cities in 2012 to make empirical analysis and establish a mathematical model of the social welfare and natural population growth rate. Under the influence of economic level, geographical location, medical treatment level and educational level on the population growth, it is concluded that the gap between the social welfare levels will widen the gap between the population growth in all regions and the social welfare is inversely proportional to the population growth. Therefore, studying the setting of social welfare level plays an important role in solving the population problem in the corresponding area in the future.