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上半年GDP同比增长7.2%,创下近20年来的同期新低,综合警情显示宏观经济运行已下行至趋稳的绿灯区域底部,预计2012年全市GDP增长在7.8%左右在世界经济复苏放缓、国内经济减速、北京市经济运行惯性下行等多因素综合作用下,上半年,北京市经济运行延续上年回落调整态势,上半年GDP同比增长7.2%,创下近20年来的同期新低。综合警情显示宏观经济运行已下行至趋稳的绿灯区域底部。下半年,尽管欧债危机的演变和美面临的财政调整压力给全球经济复苏蒙上阴影,但在国内稳增长政策力度加大的作用下,北京市宏观经济增长有望短周期见底,但长周期放缓趋势仍将继续。初步预测,2012年全市GDP增长在7.8%左右。
In the first half of this year, GDP grew by 7.2% year-on-year, setting a new low for the same period in the past 20 years. According to the comprehensive police intelligence, the macroeconomic operation has been carried down to the bottom of the green light area where stabilization is expected. In 2012, the city’s GDP growth is expected to slow down in around 7.8% In the first half of the year, Beijing’s economy continued its downward trend in the previous year under the combined effect of the slowdown of the domestic economy and the inertia of the economy in Beijing. GDP grew by 7.2% in the first half of the year, setting a new lows of the same period in the past 20 years. The composite alert shows macroeconomic performance has dived to the bottom of a steady green light zone. In the second half of the year, despite the evolution of the debt crisis in Europe and the pressures of fiscal adjustment facing the United States, which have cast a shadow over the global economic recovery, under the effect of the steady growth of domestic policies, the macroeconomic growth in Beijing is expected to bottom out in a short cycle, but the long cycle Slowdown trend will continue. According to a preliminary forecast, the city’s GDP growth will be around 7.8% in 2012.