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2014年,铜在供应过剩的压力下,价格波动风险加剧;铝受产能不断恶性扩张的影响,价格呈现先起后落;铅锌在中国经济增速减缓的冲击下,价格将维持大区间震荡。铜:2014年波动风险加剧1.全球精铜供应增速高于消费增速据统计,2013年全球铜消费将达到2,055万吨,供应量达到2,084万吨;2013年中国精炼铜下游主要消费行业集中在电力设备领域,消费占比达48%,其中电源和电网固定资产投资完成额累计同比增速分别为1.6%和5.4%,表现良好;其他
In 2014, under the pressure of excess supply of copper, the risk of price fluctuation intensified. Aluminum was affected by the continuous expansion of production capacity. The price of zinc dropped first and then dropped. Under the impact of the slowdown of China’s economic growth, lead and zinc prices will maintain a wide range of shocks . Copper: Risks of Volatility in 2014 1. Global Copper Supply Growth Exceed Consumer Growth According to statistics, the global copper consumption will reach 20.55 million tons in 2013 and the supply will reach 20.84 million tons. In 2013, the consumption of refined copper downstream major consumer industries Concentrated in the field of power equipment, consumption accounted for 48% of the total, of which the fixed assets investment in power supply and power grids accumulated at a year-on-year rate of increase of 1.6% and 5.4% respectively, with good performance; other