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本文运用1998-2007年中国11个主要制造业产业的面板数据,测评满足外需为主的承接外包行为对全要素生产率的影响.分析结果表明,除了个别承接外包变量影响不显著外,至今为止中国主要制造业产业承接外包行为并没有带来全要素生产率的提高,尤其以简单加工制造为主的承接外包行为对全要素生产率存在显著负的影响,因此制造业的经验数据不支持“承接外包促进效率”假说.研究认为,国家应重新审视和合理调整目前主要依赖廉价劳动力投入为主的贸易结构和以承接国外加工业务为主的产业结构.“,”This paper applies the panel data of China's 11 main manufacturing industries from 1998 to 2007 to evaluate “contract outsourcing” behavior's influence on total factor productivity. The analysis results prove that China's main manufacturing industry's contract outsourcing behavior has not brought TFP's enhancement and especially simple processing businesses primarily have a remarkable negative influence on TFP. Therefore the manufacturing industry empirical data do not support “the contract outsourcing promotes efficiency” . We should re - examine and accordingly adjust trade structure mainly depending on cheap labor and industry structure of primarily contracting the overseas processing business.