20 0 0年是日本经济从公共需求向民间需求过渡的关键一年。目前失业、消费疲软及财政危机等问题尽管很严重 ,但正在趋于缓解。美国经济的持续繁荣和亚洲经济的迅速恢复为日本经济的发展提供了有利的大环境。对“泡沫经济”的清算改善了日本国内的经济环境 ,改革和 IT革命将给日本带来新的希望。虽然 2 0 0 0年下半年开始出现经济滑坡 ,但走向复苏的总趋势并没有改变。估计日本经济在 2 0 0 1年下半年将进入自律性复苏的轨道 The year 2000 is a crucial year for Japan’s economy to transition from public demand to private demand. The current unemployment, weak consumer spending and the financial crisis are serious problems but are easing. The sustained prosperity of the U.S. economy and the rapid economic recovery in Asia have provided a favorable environment for the development of Japan’s economy. The liquidation of “bubble economy” has improved the economic environment in Japan and the reform and the IT revolution will bring new hope to Japan. Although the economic downturn started in the second half of 2000, the general trend of recovery has not changed. It is estimated that Japan’s economy will enter the track of self-regulatory recovery in the second half of 2001