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文章从灰水足迹视角分析了2004—2014年新疆地区水资源退化趋势,引入脱钩指数分析其经济发展水平与水资源环境的协调程度,从产业结构的角度剖析该地区水资源退化的原因。结果表明:2004—2014年新疆灰水足迹总体增加,水资源退化趋势显著;其经济发展水平与水资源环境处于初步协调状态;农业扩大生产对水资源退化的影响力最大。因此,提出新疆应尽早调整产业结构,摆脱社会发展对农业的过分依赖,同时在产业转型中重点关注取水控制和污染防治,以实现新疆地区水资源反退化和社会经济可持续发展。
This paper analyzes the trend of water resources degradation in Xinjiang from 2004 to 2014 from the point of view of gray water footprint, introduces the decoupling index to analyze the coordination between economic development level and water resource environment, and analyzes the reason of water resource degradation in this area from the perspective of industrial structure. The results show that: from 2004 to 2014, the overall footprint of gray water in Xinjiang is increasing, and the trend of water resources degradation is significant; its economic development level is in preliminary coordination with water resources and environment; agricultural expansion has the greatest influence on water resource degradation. Therefore, it is suggested that Xinjiang should adjust its industrial structure as soon as possible and get rid of the overdependence of agriculture on social development. At the same time, it should focus on water control and pollution prevention and control in industrial restructuring in order to achieve the anti-degeneration of water resources and sustainable socio-economic development in Xinjiang.