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2000年是世纪交替之年,是国家实施西部大开发战略的启动之年,也是完成“九五”计划和国有企业“三年两大目标”的最后一年。展望2000年,我区经济增长可望走出谷底,止跌回升。主要基于以下几方面原因:(一)积极的扩大内需宏观调控政策效应会进一步增强。首先,今年的政策推动与去年相比更加积极、灵活。一是政策调控的覆盖面扩大了,由单一的投资启动转向投资、消费与出口全面拉动。二是投资刺激的办法更加多样,由单一投向基础设施建设转向基础设施建设投资与企业技术改造投资并重,而且在技改投资上引入了贴息的办法,政府财政通过技改贴息来带动企业技术改造投资,进而带动信贷规模的扩大。其次,政府继续实施积极财政政策的态度坚决,并在去年底和今年初就通过报纸和电视将中央领导及有关部委的主要负责人对今年实施积极财政政策取向公之于众,继续发行长期国债扩大投资,进一步提高了人们对今后投资消费的预期,有利于促进经济增速的回升。再次,政策作用的叠加效应对拉动今年经济增长回升奠定了充分的现实
Year 2000 is the year of the turn of the century. It is also the start year for the country to implement the strategy of developing the western region. It is also the final year of completing the Ninth Five-Year Plan and the state-owned enterprises. Looking into the year 2000, the economic growth in our region is expected to bottom out and rebound. Mainly due to the following reasons: (1) The effect of macro-control policies to actively expand domestic demand will be further strengthened. First of all, this year’s policy push is more active and flexible than last year. First, the coverage of the policy control has expanded, shifting from a single investment to investment, and consumption and exports have been driven in all aspects. Second, investment incentives are more diversified, shifting from a single investment in infrastructure construction to an investment in infrastructure construction and an equal investment in technological transformation of enterprises. Moreover, a subsidy approach has been introduced to investment in technological reform. Government finance has driven enterprises to make technological innovations through discounting technological improvements Investment, which in turn led to the expansion of credit scale. Second, the government has adopted a firm fiscal policy stance. At the end of last year and early this year, the Central Government and major leaders of the relevant ministries and commissions made public their opinions on the implementation of this proactive fiscal policy this year. They continued to issue long-term government bonds to expand their investment, Further raising people’s expectations for investment and consumption in the future and helping promote the economic recovery. Thirdly, the superposition effect of the policy role has laid a solid foundation for stimulating the economic growth this year