如何对煤层突出危险性进行区域性预报这一课题,苏联早在40年代就开始研究了。在Л·М·贝科夫等人的著作中,指出了能确定煤层是否有突出危险性的区域构造特征,但根据这些特征所预报的突出危险,在开采当中并未得到证实。B·A·沙金在其著作中指出,矿井地质人员只按已采过的上水平实际发生的突出现象,来预报将要开采煤层突出危险区的做法往往不太有效。这是因为根据已采水平推断并设 How to forecast the prominent danger of coal seam in the region began in the 1940s. In the writings of ЛМ Beikov et al., Regional structural features that determine whether coal seams are prominent or not are pointed out, but the outstanding risks foreseen by these characteristics are not confirmed in the mining process. BH Shakin pointed out in his book that it is often not effective for mine geologists to predict the salient areas to be excavated in coal seams based only on the salient features actually experienced at the upper levels they have already taken. This is because it is based on the level already taken and set