未来的手机是什么样的?这是广大消费者以及很多手机厂商正在思考的问题。手机产品在技术、功能设计上的竞争在未来两三年内将达到白热化的程度,而在市场的价格战方面随时可能重蹈中国家电行业恶性竞争的覆辙,在未来的手机市场,谁能在技术战略上抢得先机,谁就有可能笑到最后。 但是要清晰地勾勒出未来手机的模样并不是一件很容易的事情。一方面是因为IT行业的激烈竞争。相关的标准之争、技术之争此起彼伏,技术推广也有难度,这增加了产品和技术的不确定性。另一方面则是因为未来的新材料所导致的技术升级与变迁是一个未知数,这也为未来的手机蒙上了神秘的面纱。甚至,未来“手机”这个名词有可能会如同今日的软驱一样逐渐成为昔日黄花,而代之以诸如“智能电话”、“移动通信终端”、“移动通信器”等新的产品概念或名词。本文也因此将它们暂且称之为“未来的移动通信器”(下文简称为“通信器”) What is the future of mobile phones? This is the vast number of consumers and many mobile phone manufacturers are thinking about the issue. In the next two to three years, the competition in technology and functional design of mobile phone products will reach the level of white-hot. In the future, the mobile phone market may face the vicious competition in the household appliance industry in terms of price war. Strategically grab the first chance, who may have the last laugh. But it is not an easy task to clearly outline the appearance of the future cellphone. On the one hand because of the fierce competition in the IT industry. Related standards dispute, one after another technology dispute, technology promotion is also difficult, which increases the product and technology uncertainty. On the other hand, the technological upgrading and changes caused by the new materials in the future are unknown. This also casts a mysterious veil on the future handsets. Even the future “mobile phone” is likely to become the same old floppy disk as today’s floppy disk, and replaced with new product concepts such as “smart phones”, “mobile communications terminal”, “mobile communicator” and other nouns. This article therefore also refers to them as “future mobile communicators” (hereinafter simply referred to as “communicators”)