海洋与大气是一个复杂的相互联系相互作用的整体,海洋上的埃尔尼诺现象引起全球性的天气、气候异常,已成为大家关注的大问题.在这方面,中国气象工作者做了不少工作,取得了显著的进展.本文的目的在于揭示热带温度场长期振荡的事实,它们与埃尔尼诺现象的相互关系,为热带温度场长期预报提供有用的背景和着眼点. 文中使用1964—1984年美国的Monthly Climatic Data For The World的850—30hpa各层31个站点月平均温度值和1946—1978年美国国家气候中心全球月平均海表温度值资 The ocean and the atmosphere are a complex interrelated and integrative whole. The phenomenon of the El Niño on the ocean causing global weather and climate anomalies has become a big issue that everyone is concerned about. In this regard, the Chinese meteorologists did not Less work and made notable progress.The purpose of this paper is to reveal the fact that the long-term oscillation of the tropical temperature field and their correlation with the El Niño phenomenon provide a useful background and focus for the long-term prediction of the tropical temperature field.This paper uses 1964 - The mean monthly temperature of 31 sites in the 850-30hpa layer of the Monthly Climatic Data For The World of the United States in 1984 and the global mean monthly sea surface temperature of the United States National Climate Center from 1946 to 1978