可靠性预测足可靠性设计的主要内容之一。在方案论证阶段,它预测该方案的可靠性估值并与分配指标比较,以确定方案是否满足要求。在研制阶段,预测产品的可靠性评估值,作为改进设计,工装,工艺,材料和元器件选取的依据。本文讨论了元器件和系统(以系统为主)的可靠性预测工程方法并举了应用的例子。 One of the main contents of reliability prediction is the reliability prediction. At the program demonstration stage, it estimates the reliability of the program and compares it with the assigned metrics to determine if the program meets the requirements. In the development stage, the reliability evaluation of the product is predicted as a basis for improving the design, tooling, process, materials and components selection. This article discusses the component and system (system-based) reliability prediction engineering methods and examples of applications.