论文部分内容阅读
本文将物流因素引入面板数据模型,使用1982-2009年相关数据,对长三角区域物流和区域经济增加之间的关系进行了定量分析。实证结果表明,物流业的发展对经济增长有显著的正向影响,但是物流业对经济增长的弹性均小于1,说明货运量增长速度落后于经济增长速度,交通运输总体上还不能满足经济发展的需要。因此长三角地区依然要加大对物流产业的投资力度,使货运量的弹性大于1,真正发挥出货运量对经济的带动作用。
This paper introduces the factor of logistics into the panel data model and uses the data of 1982-2009 to quantitatively analyze the relationship between regional logistics and the increase of regional economy in the Yangtze River Delta. The empirical results show that the development of the logistics industry has a significant positive impact on economic growth, but the elasticity of the logistics industry to economic growth is less than 1, indicating that the growth rate of freight traffic lags behind the rate of economic growth, and transportation as a whole still can not meet the economic development Need. Therefore, the Yangtze River Delta region still has to increase investment in the logistics industry so that the flexibility of the cargo volume is greater than 1, so that the shipping volume can truly exert its leading role in the economy.