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10月,美国三季度数据陆续公布。结果显示,美国经济正呈现回暖迹象,其中个人消费支出和固定资产投资是构成经济复苏的主要动力。然而,通胀压力上升和失业率居高不下仍对美国经济增长构成威胁。从美联储11月议息会议的最新结果来看,其对美国经济前景的预测有所下调,QE3仍是其政策选择之一。一、美国三季度数据显示,其经济正呈现复苏迹象尽管受到债务上限问题以及高失业率等问题的困扰,但美国商务部、美联储等部门10月陆续公布的一系列数据表明,美国经济增速出现了明显的回暖迹象。三季度,美国实际GDP增长率(环比折年率)达到2.5%,较上半年有大幅回升(一、二季度分别为0.4%和1.3%,见图1);工业生产、消费与贸易情况均出现改善,特别是个人消费支出和固定资产投资是拉动GDP反弹的重要因素。
In October, the third quarter of the United States data released one after another. The results show that the U.S. economy is showing signs of recovery, of which personal consumption expenditure and investment in fixed assets constitute the main engine of economic recovery. However, rising inflationary pressures and high unemployment still pose a threat to the U.S. economy. According to the latest results of the Federal Reserve meeting on November interest rates, its forecast on the economic outlook of the United States has been lowered. QE3 is still one of its policy options. First, the United States in the third quarter data show that the economy is showing signs of recovery Despite the debt ceiling and high unemployment and other issues plagued the United States Department of Commerce, the Federal Reserve and other departments released in a series of data in October showed that the U.S. economic growth There has been a clear sign of recovery. In the third quarter, the real GDP growth rate in the United States reached 2.5%, representing a sharp rebound from the first half (0.4% and 1.3% respectively in the first and second quarters, see figure 1); industrial production, consumption and trade emerged Improvements, especially in consumer spending and investment in fixed assets, are important factors driving GDP rebound.