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本文就胡鞍钢先生在《我们需要对改革进行反思》一文中提出的1997~2000年改革是零和博弈观点表示了不同看法。作者从历史学、社会学、经济学的角度,对零和博弈进行了质疑;通过数理分析结论和事实论证,指出奥肯模型在中国并不完全适用,并对胡先生提出的论据阐述了不同意见,提出要用动态的眼光看待中国改革的阶段性成效,对改革成本和收益的计量要从多方面、各层次去考虑,客观地看待改革中出现的问题和困难,说改革是零和博弈的观点有失公允。
In this paper, Mr. Hu Angang said in the article “We need to reflect on the reform,” the 1997-2000 reform is a zero-sum game point of view expressed different views. The author has questioned zero-sum game from the perspectives of history, sociology and economics. It points out that the Okun model is not entirely applicable in China through mathematical analysis and factual evidence, and elaborates on the arguments put forward by Mr. Hu Opinions, put forward that we should view the phased achievements of China's reform from a dynamic perspective, consider the various aspects and levels of measurement of the costs and benefits of reform, look objectively at the problems and difficulties in the reform, and say that the reform is a zero-sum game The view is not fair.