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从因果角度出发,结合潜在结果模型与倾向分方法探讨加入林业合作组织与农户林权流转意愿之间的关系。采用“林权制度改革监测”数据,对福建、甘肃、湖南等7省进行分析。结果显示,除福建、甘肃2个省外,在其他5省参加合作组织均是林权流转意愿提升的原因;平均来看,参加合作组织能促使农户林权流转意愿提升36个百分点。因此,建议加快发展林业合作组织,提升其经营管理效率,并关注其在不同地区的差异。
From the perspective of causation, this paper discusses the relationship between joining forestry cooperative organizations and the willingness of farmers to transfer forest tenure based on the potential outcome model and propensity score method. Adopting the data of “forest rights system reform monitoring ”, this paper analyzes the 7 provinces including Fujian, Gansu and Hunan. The results show that, except for Fujian and Gansu provinces, participating in cooperatives in the other five provinces are all the reasons for the improvement of forest tenure rights transfer. On average, participating cooperatives can promote farmers’ willingness to transfer forest tenure by 36 percentage points. Therefore, it is proposed to speed up the development of forestry cooperation organizations, enhance the efficiency of their operation and management, and pay attention to their differences in different regions.