地震科学水平和地震预报的社会实践，形成研究人员不同的“良心”心理活动。积极的“良心”心理活动，有促进地震预报研究发展，相对提高预报成功率的作用；消极的心理活动，则干扰地震预报决策，或涣散军心，增加预报失误。为此，在震情严峻的情况下，应减轻预报人员的心理负担，在基层地震部门，更要疏导地震工作者的消极心理，以提高地震预报的质量 The scientific practice of earthquakes and the social practice of earthquake prediction form the different conscience psychological activities of researchers. Positive “conscience” psychological activities can promote the development of earthquake prediction research and relatively improve the success rate of forecasting. Negative psychological activities interfere with earthquake prediction and decision-making or dispel morale and increase forecast errors. Therefore, under the severe earthquake conditions, the psychological burden of forecasters should be alleviated. At the grass-roots earthquake departments, the negative psychology of earthquake workers should be further diverted to improve the quality of earthquake prediction