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本系统依据落叶松落叶病Mycosphaerella larici—leptolepis已往12年的时序观测值,预报当年和翌年的发病面积、病情指数,以及当年影响发病的降水、气温和相对湿度;根据防治成本和防治效果制定防治指标和所需经费;根据投资能力确定防治面积和预测防治效益。
The system predicts the area and disease index of the current year and the following year according to the observed time series of past 12 years of Mycosphaerella larici-leptolepis, as well as the precipitation, air temperature and relative humidity that affect the occurrence in the current year; and formulates the prevention and treatment according to the prevention and control cost and the prevention and cure effect Indicators and funding requirements; according to investment capacity to determine the prevention and treatment area and forecast the effectiveness of prevention and treatment.