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基于2009年底我国31个省级地区统计数据的计量经济模型实证研究表明,当前显著影响我国区域经济发展水平(人均地区生产总值)的宏观结构性因素主要是人口的城乡结构(城镇人口比重)、就业结构(非农产业就业人员比重)和产业结构偏离度等3个变量,产业结构(非农产业增加值比重)、城乡消费水平对比、最终消费率、资本形成率和人口自然增长率等其他因素的影响并不显著。因此,要进一步提高我国区域经济发展水平就应该加快破除各地区的城乡分割二元体制性障碍,构建城乡一体化劳动力市场;加速工业化与城镇化进程,在强化产业功能基础上提高城镇化率,完善城乡人口结构;加大城乡人力资源开发力度,提升非农就业水平,优化就业结构,提高产业结构的合理化与高度化程度。
The empirical study based on the econometric models of 31 provinces at the end of 2009 shows that the current macroeconomic structural factors that significantly affect the level of regional economic development in China (per capita GDP) are mainly the urban-rural structure (the proportion of urban population) , Employment structure (proportion of non-agricultural workers) and industrial structure deviation, industrial structure (proportion of non-agricultural value added), urban-rural consumption level, final consumption rate, capital formation rate and natural population growth rate The impact of other factors is not significant. Therefore, in order to further improve the level of regional economic development in our country, we should speed up the process of breaking the dual institutional barrier between urban and rural areas in various regions and build an integrated urban and rural labor market. We should speed up the process of industrialization and urbanization, increase the rate of urbanization on the basis of strengthening industrial functions, Improve urban and rural population structure; increase urban and rural human resources development efforts to enhance the level of non-agricultural employment, optimize the employment structure, improve the industrial structure of rationalization and a high degree of.