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我国现阶段正依照循序渐进、统筹兼顾的原则逐步推动资本账户市场的开放,但当下在金融危机背景下,美元对国际主要货币大幅贬值导致全球金融市场动荡,国际短期资本大量涌入中国,对我国经济平稳发展造成了巨大的冲击。此时,我们是否应该停止资本账户的开放进程以求自保呢?答案是否定的。开放资本账户的利弊共存,关键在于如何防范和降低风险,保证宏观经济稳定发展。本文将从资本账户开放的利与弊入手,分析其对中国经济的影响,提出在金融危机背景下,维护中国稳定发展,稳步推进资本账户开放的政策建议。
At the present stage of our country, the capital account market is gradually being opened up according to the principle of gradual and all-round consideration. However, under the current financial crisis, the devaluation of the U.S. dollar against major international currencies has led to turmoil in global financial markets. The inflow of international short-term capital into China has greatly affected our country. The steady economic development has caused a huge impact. At this point, should we stop the process of capital account liberalization for self-protection? The answer is no. The key to the coexistence of pros and cons of opening capital accounts lies in how to prevent and reduce risks and ensure the steady development of the macroeconomy. This article starts with the pros and cons of capital account liberalization, analyzes its impact on the Chinese economy, and proposes policy proposals to maintain China’s stable development and steadily promote the opening up of capital account in the context of the financial crisis.