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参照Elinor Ostrom的IAD延伸模型,基于河南省平原地区的面板数据,运用二元Logistic回归模型,对农户建设农田防护林体系的意愿展开研究,分析了影响农户建设农田防护林体系意愿的因素及农户对建设农田防护林体系及保障粮食生产方面的意见。结果表明,农田防护林对农田的影响程度是影响农户发展防护林体系意愿的最关键因素,此外农田防护林体系完善程度、农田防护林体系中存在的突出问题、农用林业产品销售方式和家庭务农人数也是影响农户建设农田防护林体系的重要因素;农户希望农田防护林体系的建设对农田影响最小化,农户愿意在道路边缘、沟渠旁边、闲置的土地和房前屋后布局农田防护林;愿意发展的模式是林带、农田林网和片林;农田防护林体系只是稳定当地粮食生产的措施之一,保障当地粮食的生产安全;除尊重农户意见建设农田防护林体系外,还应采取相关的水利、农艺和保险措施等。
Based on the IAD extension model of Elinor Ostrom and based on the panel data of Henan Plain, a binary Logistic regression model was used to study the farmers ’willingness to build farmland shelterbelt system. The factors influencing farmers’ willingness to build farmland shelterbelt system were analyzed and their impacts on construction Farmland Shelterbelt System and Opinions on Ensuring Food Production. The results show that the impact of farmland shelterbelt on farmland is the most crucial factor affecting the farmers’ willingness to develop shelterbelt system. In addition, the perfection of farmland shelterbelt system, outstanding problems in farmland shelterbelt system, the sales mode of agricultural forestry products and the number of family farmer households also affect farmers Farmers want to minimize the impact of the construction of farmland shelterbelt system on farmland, and farmers are willing to lay farmland shelterbelt on the edge of road, the land adjacent to ditches and the vacant houses and the houses in front of the houses. The modes that are willing to be developed are forest belts, farmland Forest network and Kobayashi forest farm shelterbelt system is only one of the measures to stabilize local food production to ensure the safety of local food production; in addition to respecting the views of farmers to build farmland shelterbelt system should also take the relevant water conservancy, agronomic and insurance measures.