论文部分内容阅读
发行国债,是我国政府弥补财政赤字和实施宏观经济调控的重要工具,国债规模是否适度关系着国民经济能否健康发展。本文从定量分析的角度,在研究影响国债规模的主要因素的基础上,采用近二十年的相关样本数据,建立了计量经济模型,并运用EViews软件进行了一系列的定量分析,从而得到国家财政赤字规模和居民储蓄总量是影响我国国债发行规模的最重要因素。
The issuance of government bonds is an important tool for our government to make up deficits and implement macroeconomic regulation and control. Whether the scale of government bonds is moderately related to the healthy development of the national economy. Based on the quantitative analysis of the main factors that affect the size of the national debt, based on the use of relevant sample data for nearly two decades, the econometric model was established and a series of quantitative analyzes were conducted using the EViews software to obtain the national The scale of fiscal deficit and the total amount of household savings are the most important factors that affect the size of China’s government bonds.