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美国经济学家罗伯特·卢卡斯(Robert E.Lucas),由于以理性预期假说“改造了宏观经济分析和深化了我们对经济政策的理解”获得了1995年度诺贝尔经济学奖,这标志着以国家干预主义为中心的现代凯恩斯主义宏观理论分析方法的失宠和70年代崛起的新保守主义经济学的胜利。卢卡斯的获奖无疑意味着,以他为代表的理性预期学派的思想方法和政策主张将影响世界末西方国家政府的决策和经济活动的进程。亦对我国社会主义市场经济理论的发展和完善具有一定的借鉴意义和参考价值。 预期是经济学中影响经济活动的重要因素。可分为广义和狭义两种。狭义的预期,是指人们对未来商品
Robert E. Lucas, the American economist, won the 1995 Nobel Prize for Economics for his reliance on rational expectations hypothesis “to transform macroeconomic analysis and deepen our understanding of economic policy,” which marks The out-of-control of modern Keynesian macroscopic theoretical analysis centering on state interventionism and the victory of neoconservative economics rising in the 1970s. The winning of Lucas undoubtedly means that the ideological methods and policy advocates of the rational expectations school represented by him will influence the process of decision-making and economic activities of the governments in the western world. It also has certain reference and reference value for the development and improvement of China’s socialist market economy theory. Expectations are an important factor in economics affecting economic activity. Can be divided into broad and narrow two. Narrow expectations, refers to the people of the future of goods