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2011年,尽管遭遇经济减速,中国大宗商品需求依然旺盛,拉动国内产量大幅增长,同期市场价格高位震荡,创下新高后又大幅回落。展望新一年市场形势,受到全球经济复苏乏力,尤其是欧债危机可能恶化影响,消费动力更多来自国内需求。随之而来的各国经济刺激措施与主要货币竞相贬值影响,将使得整体价格水平先抑后扬。一、2011年中国大宗商品市场高位宽幅震荡承接2010年显著升温态势,2011年中国大宗商品市场保持高位宽幅震荡局面。(一)宏观经济减速,不改需求旺盛增长局面
In 2011, despite the economic slowdown, the demand for bulk commodities in China remained strong, driving a substantial increase in domestic output. In the meantime, market prices fluctuated at a high level and dropped sharply after reaching a new high. Looking forward to the market situation in the new year, due to the sluggish global economic recovery, especially the possible deterioration of the debt crisis in Europe, consumer motivation will come more from domestic demand. The ensuing economic stimulus measures of various countries and the devaluation of major currencies will make the overall price level lower and lower first. I. In 2011, China’s commodity market fluctuated at a high level and took a significant warming trend in 2010. In 2011, China’s commodity market maintained its high and volatile conditions. (A) macroeconomic slowdown, do not change the situation of strong demand growth