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本研究总结分析了厄尔尼诺事件出现与广东省历史稻飞虱大发生的相关关系,为广东省稻飞虱发生的超长预报提供依据。研究表明:厄尔尼诺年广东省稻飞虱大发生概率高,厄尔尼诺强年稻飞虱大发生概率更高。厄尔尼诺事件部分原因是通过东亚地区夏季风影响广东稻飞虱的发生,夏季风正常年份,广东稻飞虱大发生概率较高。
This study summarizes the correlation between El Niño events and the occurrence of rice planthopper in Guangdong Province, and provides a basis for the long-term prediction of rice planthoppers in Guangdong Province. The research shows that the probability of planthopper occurrence in El Nino in Guangdong Province is high, and that of El Niño in strong annual planthopper occurrence is higher. The El Niño incident was partly due to the occurrence of planthopper in Guangdong through the summer monsoon over East Asia. The normal occurrence of summer monsoon and the high incidence of planthopper in Guangdong were high.