如果我们用错了概率知识,就可能把无辜者投入监狱,而让真正的罪犯逍遥法外。让一位摄影师谋杀了自己的妻子,然后把现场伪装成有绑匪潜入,试图绑架他的妻子未果,于是杀害了他的妻子的场景。他的伪装太完美了,几乎所有人都被蒙骗了,并安慰“悲痛”的摄影师。这 If we use the wrong knowledge of probabilities, it is possible to put innocents in jails and allow the real criminals to go unpunished. Having a photographer kill his wife and then disguising the scene as a kidnapper trying to kidnap his wife failed to kill his wife. His camouflage is so perfect that almost everyone is deceived and comforts the photographer of “grief.” This