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本文选取2000年到2013年全国31个省市的面板数据,进行人口流动、区域户籍结构调整与经济结构变化关系的研究。结果发现:非户籍人口导入是区域常住人口增长的主要原因,但不同区域影响人口导入的主要因素不同,东部地区是经济增长因素,中部地区是城市规模扩张因素,而西部地区是收入水平因素。我国非本地户籍人口流动及分布是影响区域产业结构的重要因素,产业升级状况总体上受非本地户籍人口导入的影响,从不同区域内部产业结构看,东部地区受人口密度影响,中部地区受城镇规模和收入水平影响,而西部地区受人口导入数量与城镇规模影响。总体上看,我国人口流动的主要原因是就业选择而不是居住环境选择。户籍制度改革的落实,应该与城镇产业政策和人口结构优化相结合,政府应实施地区差异化政策,有序引导人口的转移。
This paper selects the panel data of 31 provinces and cities nationwide from 2000 to 2013 to study the relationship between population mobility, the adjustment of regional household registration structure and economic structure. The results show that the introduction of non-household population is the main reason for the increase of resident population in the region. However, the main factors affecting the population import in different regions are different. The eastern region is the factor of economic growth. The central region is the factor of urban expansion while the western region is the income level. The flow and distribution of non-local census population in our country is an important factor affecting the regional industrial structure. The industrial upgrading is generally affected by the introduction of non-local census population. From the perspective of the industrial structure in different regions, the eastern region is affected by population density. In the central region, Scale and income levels, while the western region affected by the number of population and the size of cities and towns. Overall, the main reason for the migration of our population is the choice of employment rather than the choice of living environment. The implementation of the reform of the household registration system should be combined with the optimization of urban industrial policies and population structure. The government should implement the policy of regional differentiation and guide the population transfer in an orderly manner.