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了解汇率变动对国内大宗农产品价格的影响对研究汇率的经济调整效应具有重要的意义。本文从理论和实证两方面分析了人民币实际有效汇率对我国大宗农产品棉花进口价格的传导效应。研究表明,人民币实际有效汇率对棉花价格的传导效应是不完全的,且传导效应比较低。基于研究结论,本文提出关于汇率改革与农产品种植结构等方面的政策建议。
Understanding the impact of exchange rate changes on domestic prices of bulk agricultural products is of great significance for studying the economic adjustment effect of exchange rates. This paper analyzes the conduction effect of the RMB real effective exchange rate on the import price of China’s bulk agricultural products from the theoretical and empirical aspects. The research shows that the real effective exchange rate of RMB has no conductive effect on the price of cotton and the conduction effect is relatively low. Based on the conclusions of the study, this paper proposes policy suggestions on exchange rate reform and agricultural product structure.