最近,经济运行朝着年初提出“双防”方针时所预期的方向发展。消费价格涨幅趋缓,增长过热的风险大幅度降低。与此同时,经济运行中不确定、不稳定的因素比原来估计的要多,影响要大,出现了一些需要关注的新情况、新问题。物价涨幅仍处高位,推动物价上涨的因素正在发生变化,通胀的中长期压力不容忽视;经济增长则面临外需下滑、内需不稳、困难增加等多重压力。下半年宏观经济政策需要在稳定物价和保持经济平稳较快发展之间寻求新的平衡点,“缓通胀,稳增长,促转型”。 Recently, the economic operation has been moving in the direction expected when the “dual defense” principle was put forward at the beginning of the year. Consumer prices slowed down and the risk of overheating was drastically reduced. In the meantime, the uncertainties and instability in the economic operation are more than originally estimated and have a great impact. Some new situations and problems have emerged that require attention. The price increase is still at a high level. The factors driving prices are changing. The medium- and long-term inflationary pressures should not be overlooked. Economic growth is subject to multiple pressures such as declining external demand, unstable domestic demand and increasing difficulties. In the second half of the year, macroeconomic policies will need to find a new balance between stabilizing prices and maintaining steady and rapid economic growth, “slowing inflation, stabilizing growth and promoting transformation.”