在供应链管理中,环境变化和不确定性是供应链不可脱离的生存土壤,正如战略管理学家安索夫在评价企业的“柔性”时指出:企业要适应环境,一个很重要的方面就是能够对所处的环境以及未来的变化趋势有所认识,特别是对环境中不确定事件的分析和应付能力尤为重要。因此,供应链也应当具 In supply chain management, environmental changes and uncertainties are the inseparable sources of living in the supply chain. As Strategic Management Strategist Ansoff pointed out in his evaluation of the “softness” of an enterprise, it is very important that enterprises adapt to the environment The aspect is to be able to recognize the environment in which it is located and the changing trends in the future, especially the analysis and coping ability of uncertain events in the environment. Therefore, the supply chain should also have