在介绍国际碳交易体系的基础上,结合我国国情,分析得出我国目前尚未具备建立全国性配额市场的条件;CDM一级市场严重受制于国际气候政策导向,依托我国已发展的大规模CDM一级市场,培育自愿性市场;并迅速发展二级市场;针对我国区域经济发展不均衡的国情,优先建立区域性碳交易市场等启示。深入分析2012年《京都议定书》第一承诺期结束后的国际气候政策变化,并预测未来国际碳交易市场的发展趋势。 Based on the introduction of the international carbon trading system and the analysis of China’s national conditions, it is concluded that China has not yet possessed the conditions for establishing a national quota market. The CDM primary market is severely constrained by the international climate policy and relies on the developed large-scale CDM1 Level market and nurture the voluntary market; and rapidly develop the secondary market. In view of the uneven national economic development in our region and the preferential establishment of a regional carbon trading market, In-depth analysis of the changes of international climate policy after the first commitment period of “Kyoto Protocol” in 2012 and forecast the future development trend of international carbon trading market.