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今年以来,中国经济出现了加速增长的势头。但在经济增长过程中,也出现了一些令人担心的现象。本文通过对于各种现象的综合分析认为,目前中国的经济增长是正常的,并不存在总体上的经济过热。局部行业、局部地区虽然存在着某些过势的现象,但这在市场经济条件下是经常出现的一种正常现象。对整个国民经济而言,中国目前处于1992年以来最好的时期,巩固目前的良好势头,并继续通过各种宏观经济调控手段来保持中国经济的持续、稳定和高速发展,以实现我国世纪头20年的实现小康的战略目标,是我们目前的首要任务。因此,本文强调以下观点:第一,加速的经济增长和经济过热是有区别的,在加速增长中出现的部分地区和行业的异常和整个国民经济的过热也是有区别的,应该采取不同的调控政策措施。第二,中国确实存在着通货膨胀的可能,但也存在着通货紧缩的可能。中国目前的经济环境和前两次经济过热时有很大的差别,合理的宏观调控与市场导向结合起来,是保证中国经济可持续发展的基础。第三,就业和再就业是目前中国经济发展中的主要矛盾。在近期的经济发展目标中,改善就业的任务比防止通货膨胀更为重要。在此基础上,本文对宏观经济政策的实施提出了政策建议。
Since the beginning of this year, the momentum of China’s economy has accelerated. However, during the process of economic growth, some worrying phenomena have also emerged. Through a comprehensive analysis of various phenomena, this article argues that at present China’s economic growth is normal and there is no overall economic overheating. Although there are some over-arching phenomena in some industries and some local areas, this is a normal phenomenon that often occurs in the market economy. As far as the entire national economy is concerned, China is currently in its best period since 1992, consolidating the current good momentum and continuing to maintain the sustained, stable and rapid development of China’s economy through various macroeconomic control measures in order to achieve the goal of our country’s century Twenty years of strategic goal of achieving well-to-do is our top priority. Therefore, this article emphasizes the following points: First, there is a difference between accelerated economic growth and overheating. There are also differences between the anomalies in some regions and industries that occur during the accelerated growth and the overheating of the entire national economy. Different control measures should be taken Policy measures. Second, China does have the possibility of inflation, but there is also the possibility of deflation. China’s current economic environment differs greatly from the previous two overheated economy. The combination of sound macro-control and market orientation is the basis for ensuring the sustainable development of China’s economy. Third, employment and reemployment are the main contradictions in China’s economic development. In the recent economic development goals, the task of improving employment is more important than preventing inflation. On this basis, this paper puts forward policy suggestions on the implementation of macroeconomic policies.