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本文分析了广东省外贸出口与进口、FDI、出口对象国的经济增长及人民币名义汇率等影响因素的长期均衡关系,然后分析了短期中广东省外贸出口量对各影响因素波动的反应。得出结论:长期中,广东省出口额与外国收入、进口额、人民币名义汇率之间存在着正相关关系,而短期内进口额和人民币名义汇率对出口影响较大。
This paper analyzes the long-term equilibrium relationship between the export and import of foreign trade in Guangdong Province, the economic growth of FDI and the target country of export and the nominal exchange rate of RMB, and then analyzes the reaction of the export volume of Guangdong Province to the fluctuations of various influencing factors in the short run. Concluded that: In the long run, there is a positive correlation between the export volume of Guangdong Province and the foreign exchange earnings, the import value and the nominal exchange rate of the Renminbi. In the short term, the import value and the nominal exchange rate of Renminbi have a greater impact on exports.