世界能源正处于新的转型期,最重要的变化将是石油出口国与进口消费国之间主动权的转移。1月中旬,俄罗斯能源部发布俄罗斯2035年前《能源战略(草案)》。从公开报道看,这个版本与2009年版本相比,新版《能源战略(草案)》最重要的变化主要有四点。一是对全球能源需求增长的预期由1.5%调低至1.2%。二是增加天然气在俄罗斯一次能源生产的比例,2010年至2035年间,由41%提高至47%,石油生产则相应地由39%降低至33%左右, The world’s energy is in a new phase of transition. The most important change will be the transfer of the initiative between the oil exporters and the consuming consumers. In mid-January, the Russian Ministry of Energy released Russia’s “Energy Strategy (Draft)” by 2035. From the open coverage, this version compared with the 2009 version, the new version of “energy strategy (draft),” the most important changes in four points. First, the forecast for global energy demand growth was reduced from 1.5% to 1.2%. The second is to increase the proportion of natural gas in primary energy production in Russia from 41% to 47% between 2010 and 2035 while the oil production is correspondingly reduced from 39% to 33%