澳门进入后过渡期,经济增长放缓,连续三年出现负增长:96年为负0.5%、97年为负0.1%及98年为负3.3%。随着澳门回归祖国的日子临近,关心澳门的各界人士都预测或者是期待着它能够在回归后的短时间内迅速走出经济低谷。笔者以为这未免太过乐观或操之过急。从短期来看,其经济还只能在低谷徘徊一段时间, After entering the post-transitional period, Macao’s economy slowed down and recorded negative growth for three consecutive years: negative 0.25% in 1996, negative 0.1% in 1997 and negative 3.3% in 1998. As the days of Macao’s return to the motherland are approaching, people from all walks of life who are concerned about Macao have predicted or are expecting it to quickly emerge from the economic downturn within a short period of time after the handover. I think this is too optimistic or too hasty. In the short term, its economy can only hover in the trough for some time,