[目的]掌握石河子总场棉铃虫发生与温度之间关系,[方法]对2007~2010年棉铃虫成虫发生进行数据分析,结合气温构建发生期预测模型。[结果]棉铃虫越冬代随着温度的升高种群数量增加,其种群动态与温度呈正相关。棉铃虫一代与二代随着温度的升高种群数量降低,其种群动态与温度呈负相关。[结论]为北疆棉铃虫的预测预报及其防治提供一定的理论依据。 [Objective] The research aimed to understand the relationship between the occurrence and the temperature of cotton bollworm in Shihezi. [Method] The data of adult occurrence of cotton bollworm from 2007 to 2010 were analyzed. [Result] The population dynamics of cotton bollworm (Helicoverpa armigera) was positively correlated with the temperature as the temperature increased. The bollworm population and the second generation population decreased with increasing temperature, and the population dynamics were negatively correlated with temperature. [Conclusion] This study provided some theoretical basis for prediction and control of cotton bollworm in northern Xinjiang.