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56K Modem技术,如果从去年下半年开始计算,已经被各大媒体炒作了整整一年。广大的用户目睹了56K从冷到热又从热到冷的过程。X2技术抢得一步先机上市,以为能够以“生米煮成熟饭”而成事实标准,未果:Hayes支持K56flex的产品也随后在国内发布,后发能否制人?市场反响也不明朗。反观国内用户,如同1万元是PC的心理线一样。Modem的心理线是1千元,也许还会更低。1996年上半年,非名牌14.4K Modem价格大约为500至1000元,则除了较有远见的用户以外,购买的主流多为14.4K。下半年风云突变,56K的炒作。33.6K即将成为昨日黄花,价格一路下滑,时至今日,已经成为主流产品,而价格又是徘徊在500-1000元之间。那么56K技术的命运又如何呢? 56K技术能否成为主流,取决与以下几方面的条件成熟。
56K Modem technology, if calculated from the second half of last year, has been hyped by the major media for a whole year. The majority of users have witnessed the 56K from cold to hot and from hot to cold process. X2 technology to take the first step to the market, that can be “raw rice boiled rice,” a de facto standard, failed: Hayes support K56flex products also subsequently released in the country, the future can make people? The market response is not clear. The other hand, domestic users, as 10,000 yuan is the same as PC’s psychological line. Modem’s psychological line is 1 thousand dollars, maybe even lower. The first half of 1996, non-brand 14.4K Modem price is about 500 to 1,000 yuan, in addition to the more forward-looking users, the purchase of the mainstream is mostly 14.4K. The second half of the sudden change, 56K speculation. 33.6K will soon become the yellow flower, the price all the way down, up to now, has become the mainstream product, while the price is hovering between 500-1000 yuan. So what is the fate of 56K technology? 56K technology can become the mainstream, depending on the conditions of the following areas mature.