2017年2月份铁矿石市场运行逻辑与预测

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1月份铁矿石市场震荡上行,并于月末突破去年最高价达83.95美元/干吨,1月指数均值报收80.93美元/干吨,环比上涨0.6%。短期内高品资源结构性问题并不会有所大变化因此,1月份矿价仍以春节前补库需求与中频炉淘汰政策的支持下稳步走高。2月伊始矿价小幅下跌,因节间钢材库存大量累积,螺纹价格率先下跌引发了整个黑色市场的弱势下行。但从绝对量来看,节后钢材库存763 In January, the iron ore market rose in turmoil and reached the peak of last year’s high of 83.95 US dollars / tonne at the end of January. The average value of January index was at 80.93 US dollars / tonne, up 0.6% from the previous month. In the short term, the structural problems of high-grade resources will not change much. Therefore, the ore prices in January remained steadily higher with the support of replenishment requirements before the Spring Festival and the elimination of intermediate frequency furnaces. Mining prices fell slightly from the beginning of February due to the large accumulation of in-plant steel stocks, the thread price decline led to the entire black market, the weaker downturn. However, in absolute terms, the post-holiday steel stocks 763
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