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由于获得了大量盐下巨型油田发现,近年巴西石油储量增长较快;在盐下油田产量的推动下,巴西石油产量表现突出,但近两年受老油田产量快速下降以及巴西国家石油公司投资不足的影响,产量出现下滑。巴西于2008年成为原油净出口国,原油主要出口到美国、中国和印度。低情景下巴西石油产量将从2013年的211万桶/日增加到2020年的320万~370万桶/日,2030年达到480万~550万桶/日;高情景下2020年巴西石油产量将达到476万~500万桶/日,2030年达到520万桶/日左右。未来巴西原油出口量增速将进一步加快,2020年将达到110万~250万桶/日,但原油出口流向将发生变化,将从美国转向亚洲,且更多的流向亚太地区的中国。2013年巴西出口到中国的原油为524万吨,未来将大幅增长。
Due to the large amount of under-salt found in giant oil fields, the oil reserves in Brazil have been growing rapidly in recent years. Under the stimulation of oil production under salt, Brazil’s oil production has been outstanding. However, due to the rapid decline in output of old oil fields in recent two years and insufficient investment by Petrobras, The impact of production decline. Brazil became a net exporter of crude oil in 2008, with crude oil mainly exported to the United States, China and India. Brazil’s oil production in the low scenario will increase from 2.11 million barrels / day in 2013 to 3.2-3.7 million barrels / day in 2020 and to 4.8-5.5 million barrels / day in 2030. In the scenario scenario, Brazil’s oil production in 2020 Will reach 4.76 million to 5 million barrels / day, reaching 520 million barrels / day by 2030. The future of Brazilian crude oil exports will further accelerate the growth rate in 2020 will reach 1.1 million ~ 2.5 million barrels / day, but the direction of crude oil exports will change, will shift from the United States to Asia, and more to the Asia Pacific region of China. Brazil exported 5.24 million tons of crude oil to China in 2013 and will see substantial growth in the future.