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玉米本月估计,2015/16年度,中国玉米产量2.25亿吨,进口量350万吨,总供给量比上月估计值减少30万吨;消费量1.94亿吨,比上月估计值增加70万吨;期末结余变化量3402万吨,比上月估计值减少108万吨;估计中国玉米产区批发均价每吨1850-1880元,中间值比上年度下降近400元。本月预测,2016/17年度,受内蒙古东部、黑龙江西南部和吉林西北部干旱影响,中国玉米收获面积将比上月预测值减少约20千公顷,玉米产量比上月预测值减少108万吨;受玉米价格下降和临储拍卖的影响,玉米进口量减少到200万吨左右,比上月预测值减少40万吨;受玉米及其替代品进口量减少和淀粉酒精等玉米加工品出口退税政策利好的双重
Corn this month estimates that in 2015/16, China produced 225 million tons of corn and 3.5 million tons of imported corn, total supply fell by 300,000 tons from the previous estimate and consumption was 194 million tons, an increase of 700,000 from the previous month’s estimate Ton; the ending balance of changes in the amount of 34.02 million tons, 1.08 million tons less than the previous estimate; wholesale price of corn in China is estimated to be 1850-1880 yuan per ton, the median decrease of nearly 400 yuan over the previous year. This month forecasts that in 2016/17, affected by the droughts in eastern Inner Mongolia, southwestern Heilongjiang and northwestern Jilin, China’s maize harvested area will be reduced by about 20,000 hectares from the previous month’s forecast and maize production will be 1.08 million tonnes lower than the previous month’s forecast ; Due to the drop of corn price and temporary storage auction, the import of corn was reduced to 2 million tons, down by 400,000 tons from the previous month’s estimate; the reduction of imports of corn and its substitutes and the export tax refund of corn processed products such as starch alcohol Good policy double